Some key facts about the state of the planet’s water resources

Mineral water being poured from a bottle into ...

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- At least 1.1 billion people, or about a fifth of the world’s population, do not have access to safe drinking water. Most of them live in Asia or sub-Saharan Africa.

- The total volume of water on earth is estimated at about 340 million cubic miles of which only 2.5 percent is fresh water.

- Agriculture accounts for some 90 percent of the world’s water consumption. Industry and the domestic sector use about 5 percent each.

- The United Nations says that even though the world has plenty of fresh water, the problem of access to the resource is caused by mismanagement and corruption. In many parts of the developing world, about 40 percent of the water is unaccounted for because of leaks in canals and pipes and illegal connections.

- One of the U.N. Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) is to halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to drinking water and sanitation, but the United Nations says this may not be achieved.

- Some scientists say that the risk of violent conflict over water is rising because of explosive global population growth and widespread complacency. The water-scarce Middle East is regarded as the most likely flashpoint.

- The United Nations estimates that it would cost $6.7 billion a year to meet MDG targets on water and sanitation – compared to the $17 billion spent by Europe and the United States annually on pet food.

- At least 2 million people, most of them children, die every year from water-related diseases caused by lack of access to water and sanitation.

Links and Sources:

http://www.enn.com/top_stories/article/3880


Water use growing twice as fast as population!

Like oil in the 20th century, water could well be the essential commodity on which the 21st century will turn.Human beings have depended on access to water since the earliest days of civilization, but with 7 billion people on the planet as of October 31, exponentially expanding urbanization and development are driving demand like never before.

Water use has been growing at more than twice the rate of population increase in the last century, said Kirsty Jenkinson of the World Resources Institute, a Washington think tank.

Water use is predicted to increase by 50 percent between 2007 and 2025 in developing countries and 18 percent in developed ones, with much of the increased use in the poorest countries with more and more people moving from rural areas to cities, Jenkinson said in a telephone interview.

Factor in the expected impacts of climate change this century — more severe floods, droughts and shifts from past precipitation patterns — that are likely to hit the poorest people first and worst “and we have a significant challenge on our hands,” Jenkinson said.

Will there be enough water for everyone, especially if population continues to rise, as predicted, to 9 billion by mid-century?

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Source:http://www.enn.com/wildlife/article/4346


Earthquakes Generate Big Heat in Super-Small Areas

In experiments mimicking the speed of earthquakes, geophysicists at Brown University detail a phenomenon known as flash heating. They report in a paper published in Science that because fault surfaces touch only at microscopic, scattered spots, these contacts are subject to intense stress and extreme heating during earthquakes, lowering their friction and thus the friction of the fault. The localized, intense heating can occur even while the temperature of the rest of the fault remains largely unaffected.

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Plankton’s Shifting Role in Deep Sea Carbon Storage Explored

The tiny phytoplankton Emiliania huxleyi, invisible to the naked eye, plays an outsized role in drawing carbon from the atmosphere and sequestering it deep in the seas. But this role may change as ocean water becomes warmer and more acidic, according to a San Francisco State University research team.In a study published this week in the journal Global Change Biology, SF State Assistant Professor of Biology Jonathon Stillman and colleagues show how climate-driven changes in nitrogen sources and carbon dioxide levels in seawater could work together to make Emiliania huxleyi a less effective agent of carbon storage in the deep ocean, the world’s largest carbon sink.Changes to this massive carbon sink could have a critical effect on the planet’s future climate, Stillman said, especially as atmospheric carbon dioxide levels continue to rise sharply as a result of fossil fuel burning and other human activities.

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Feeding 9 billion people is possible with sustainable farming

An international team of scientists has proposed a five-point plan for feeding the world while protecting the planet.he research concludes that “feeding the nine billion people anticipated to live on Earth in 2050 without exhausting the Earth’s natural resources is possible, provided that we adopt a more sustainable food production approach.”The findings concludes that we can feed the increasing amount of people on this planet without exhausting the world’s resources if we successfully pursue sustainable food production on five key fronts: halt farmland expansion, improve crop production, more strategic use of water and nutrients, reduce food waste and dedicate croplands to direct human food production.Together with scientists from the University of Minnesota, University of Wisconsin, McGill University, UC Santa Barbara, Arizona State University and the University of Bonn, Rockström has for two years tried to find an answer to what could be the most compelling question facing humanity today. Based on data gathered about crop production and environmental impacts using satellite maps and on-the-grounds records, the scientists propose a five-point plan for doubling the world’s food production while reducing environmental impacts.

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Natural Compound Helps Reverse Diabetes in Mice

Researchers at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis have restored normal blood sugar metabolism in diabetic mice using a compound the body makes naturally. The finding suggests that it may one day be possible for people to take the compound much like a daily vitamin as a way to treat or even prevent type 2 diabetes.This naturally occurring compound is called nicotinamide mononucleotide, or NMN, and it plays a vital role in how cells use energy.

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Pacific island nation Tuvalu down to last few days of water

The drought-stricken Pacific island nation of Tuvalu is down to its last few days of water, prompting a mercy dash by New Zealand and Australia with water-making equipment.Tuvalu, the world’s fourth-smallest nation sitting just below the Equator, has declared a state of emergency and is rationing water.Tuvalu has a collective land mass of just 25 sq km (10 square miles) with its highest point five meters above sea level and is one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change and rising oceans.Air force planes from New Zealand and Australia were combining  to move a large desalination plant to Tuvalu, a group of small islands around 3,180 km (2,000 miles) northeast of New Zealand.

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Recent Poverty Debate in India

Are we underestimating the poor?

In an affidavit filed with the Supreme Court, the Planning Commission has said anyone with daily per capita expenditure of Rs 26 in rural areas and Rs 32 in urban areas should be considered to be below poverty line.The limits have been slammed as unrealistically low.

What is poverty line?

Poverty line is used to count the poor nationally & in each state. It is based on expenditure (Monthly Per Capita Consumption Expenditure) and not income.

The earliest poverty estimates were largely based on food needs — 2400 kcal in rural areas & 2100 kcal in urban areas.

How is the number of poor estimated?

Any one below the expenditure identified by the Tendulkar Committee will be considered poor. Planning Commission is the nodal agency for estimating the number of poor in the country.It estimates BPL population separately for national and state level based on the predefined poverty line. The data is source is the large sample survey by the National Sample Survey Office every five year.

Percentage of poor in 2004-05

Urban: Original estimate 27.5; Tendulkar estimate 25.7

Rural: Original estimate 28.3; Tendulkar estimate 41.8

Total: Original estimate 27.5; Tendulkar estimate 37.2

Poverty line and identification of poor not related

The poor population is identified through a below poverty line (BPL) Census that digs into various socio-economic state of people.

It is conducted every five year, just before a 5-year plan is to begin.

Rural count

The current census will be done on the basis of recommendations of an expert group headed by NC Saxena.

It will identify those automatically excluded from BPL and count those automatically included.

The remaining will be judged on the basis of 7-parameter index to identify the poor among them.

Urban count

Urban poor being counted for the first time.

Headcount will be based on suggestions of Hasim panel.

There will be an automatically excluded category.

Urban poor being counted for the first time.

Headcount will be based on suggestions of Hasim panel.

There will be an automatically excluded category.

Very few benefits linked to poverty line

9% of about Rs 1 lakh crore spend of rural ministry linked to poverty line.

Rs 40,000 cr NREGA is a universal scheme available to all.

The mid-day meal scheme and rural health schemes are universal.

Only subsidized food was linked to poverty line, but even that will change under the new food bill.

What is the current poverty line?

The latest poverty estimates are based on December 2009 recommendations of a committee headed by Prof Suresh Tendulkar.

The Tendulkar methodology goes beyond food to captures a wider set of deprivations.

Poverty line at ’04-’05 prices

Urban: Rs 579 monthly per capita expenditure

Rural: Rs 447 monthly per capita expenditure

Poverty line updated to current prices (Jun ’11)

Urban: Rs 965 monthly per capita expenditure or Rs 32 a day

Rural: Rs 781 monthly per capita expenditure or Rs 26 a day

What is the significance of the poverty line?

Poverty line is a broad measure of level of development.

It’s about bare needs of a person Social benefits to focus on well identified beneficiaries.

Poverty numbers will show development & intra-state changes.

It is a macro construct that has increasingly lower policy impact.

Links and Sources:

Indiatimes


World’s largest shark sanctuary created

The Marshall Islands in the Pacific Ocean is to ban shark fishing and trade in shark products throughout its waters, creating a sanctuary roughly eight times the size of the UK.The Marshall Islands archipelago is home to just 68,000 people, with tourism, such as diving, being an important part of the economy.The sanctuary, covering nearly two million square kilometres, is larger than the first pioneering shark sanctuary in the waters of the Pacific nation of Palau, which measures 600,000 square kilometres. The new sanctuary brings the total area of ocean in which sharks are protected to around 4.6 million square kilometres.

A third of sharks threatened

Currently, around a third of ocean-going shark and ray species are classified as being threatened with extinction by the IUCN, including the oceanic whitetip and scalloped hammerhead. The main threat facing many shark species is thought to be overfishing, with sharks being taken as bycatch as well as being targeted for their valuable fins.

In the newly established shark sanctuary, commercial shark fishing will be banned, with anyone caught violating the ban facing fines of up to £200,000 (around $310,500). As with other protected areas, the major concern with the new sanctuary will be the policing of such a vast area of ocean.The new sanctuary is also part of a global call for shark protection, with many countries now recognising the importance of healthy shark populations to the marine ecosystem. The Bahamas has recently banned shark fishing, while Mexico, Honduras, the Maldives and Northern Mariana have all signed a declaration to push for shark conservation.

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City is going to village:Gautam Bhatia in TOI

As expanding metros swamp villages on their way, the solution to a crisis waiting to explode perhaps lies in designing cities explicitly for the rural areas

Half the world’s population lives in cities. Of the three billion urban dwellers, one billion live in slums. In India, three out of five people live in slums. An increasing migration from the villages will make that four out of five within 10 years.

The new census figures on urbanization have suddenly revived the age-old migration debate that has existed since the rejection of the Gandhian view that village life could be filled with dignity and virtue . Sadly, the argument of making a life in the village today can only be tinged with hollow laughter: derelict , teacherless schools, abandoned health centres, parched lands, continuing social divide – all make the city slum and footpath an attractive option. The old hopes of government largesse lie tattered in the complete demise of public rural programmes, undone by years of ineptness and corruption.

In the last 50 years, however, public action related to the influx into towns has only accommodated trends, leading either to increasing densities, or to a widening sprawl of city boundary. Comparisons to cities like Singapore, Rio de Janeiro or Cape Town, where similar migrations occur and are controlled , are meaningless.

The Indian city has never endorsed particular urban values, nor had the will to govern. Since the goal is a commitment to nothing, the ground of shared ideals that make the city livable is constantly compromised.

There are daily wars on water supply , roads, electricity, school admissions , and government departments .

With no restrictions on cars, no congestion tax, uncertainty about mixed use living, changing and changeable building norms, thoughtless codes on historic preservation , the city is little more than a modern day trading outpost – marketplace for extracting favours, exchanging goods and livelihoods.

The new inhabitants of the city come with modest expectations of employment. So far the approaches to accommodating their increasing numbers have been marred by a colossal administrative failure and a lack of will to investigate new solutions. The attitude has left Indian cities imprisoned behind the stranglehold of conventional planning . What would Mumbai be like if the FSI were allowed to rise to Singapore levels? Would it reduce land costs or raise poverty levels? How can Delhi’s inflated building costs be reduced to provide affordable housing to its constantly changing citizenry? Has there ever been an attempt to describe the kind of life urban Indians would like through investigation of land value, design and planning?

There are serious flaws in which India operates its cities – neither as an efficient machine nor as a workable business model, nor as an urban welfare state. An appraisal of the sort required by the new census figures on urban migration needs more than band-aid solutions to the existing city. Today, the need to accommodate the rising numbers is extending the city into multiple corridors between the metros; a new way to include the many villages and small towns along the path. It is the government’s way of taking the city to the village. The seriousness of the attempt can only be seen if there is a genuine desire to create appropriate space and livelihood along the corridor. The densification of villages into cities can be a success only if the social and cultural constraints of local lives are taken into account on the road to prosperity.

By all standards, the poor live a richer life, filled with more varied daily incidents, fewer possessions that are not shared and more enduring connections with nature. A place that takes these values into consideration is bound to be more livable than one whose concern is entirely an inequitable division of spoils – of land, building, car space, office, transport modes. The answer may then lie in writing fresh guidelines for yet unmade places: to think and exact a new model of living that does away with all tiresome middle-class possessions that pollute and maim the city. To create conditions of lifestyle dependent on sharing and sustenance, dispossession may be the singularly important ideal for a better city.

Today the possibility of the migrant’s return to the old village should be whole heartedly discouraged . No one should be allowed to live a life that is an annual contribution to the national statistics on starvation, infant mortality, disease , and suicide. But the possibility of never leaving a village that is transforming into a new town raises the prospects of a better life. It is a task wholly imaginative and without the prescription of tested models. Cities designed explicitly for the rural areas is not just a good idea for the poor, but can act as a game changer for the self-centered ugliness created in the metros by the middle-class.

(The writer is a Delhi-based architect )

And a Counter View 

‘CITY IS GOING TO VILLAGE’ – A horrendous hypothesis masquerading as a socially equitable solution
Dear Mr.Gautam Bhatia,
Your article in the Sunday Times of India, dated 2/10/11, looked like one against the unorganised growth and the pathetic state of affairs of our present day cities in India. Your dissection of the anomalies at the heart of the modern city, the lack of infrastructure, the lack of sanitation, the ‘daily wars for water, space in schools & roads’…they all paint a true picture of the ground realities in our cities.
Your analysis on the huge influx of migrants into the cities and the resultant impact on cities being relegated to ‘a modern day trading outpost’ is spot on. As you say, there are no innovative solutions yet as to how to integrate this urban migration into the fabric of our cities. True, there are administrative failures, a ‘lack of will to investigate new solutions. This attitude has left Indian cities imprisoned behind the stranglehold of conventional planning’. These are indeed the present state of affairs in our urban areas, further burdened by the demand and expectations of an ever growing affluent consumerist middle class.
Now, what is the solution to this? How do we overcome this state of affairs? How can we reclaim back our lost space? It is indeed worth examining if there are alternate solutions which can be implemented.
So far, the analysis of causes and ground realities stated are right on in the article. But now comes the confusing part, and I quote: “Today, the need to accommodate the rising numbers is extending the city into multiple corridors between the metros; a new way to include the many villages and small towns along the path. It is the government’s way of taking the city to the village.
Cities designed explicitly for the rural areas is not just a good idea for the poor, but can act as a game changer for the self centered ugliness created in the metros by the middle class”.
Mr.Bhatia, this hypothesis of yours, of taking the cities to the villages is pretty absurd. How will unleashing the unbridled forces of real estate development onto a village landscape help in the betterment of the villages, which in turn will help in reducing migration to the existing cities? It will be architectural & urban genocide. How will developing cities on agricultural land bring about a better state of affairs? How will this bring about a better life for the city dweller or for the farmer?
If you are assuming that merely by creating a city like environment will benefit the villagers, that it will make their lives better, that it will stop them from migrating to cities, then your stand is pretty weak. By exporting a city and its infrastructure into a rural setting, you would be doing more harm than good. In the name of creating infrastructure & liveable spaces, developers & other market players will take over agricultural land (and I assume that they will get land at cheaper rates due to the fact that they are doing a great ‘service’ to the villages), rape it and start erecting multi-storeyed apartments & luxury villas, which would then be marketed & sold at exorbitant prices, as they are set in a ‘pristine unpolluted rural environment’. Do you for one moment, Mr.Bhatia, think that the villagers, the original inhabitants of that place will get possession of such habitats? Will they be able to afford it? How will their social structure & support systems function in this new environment? How will their ways of life be accommodated? What will be the impact on their thoughts, their lives, their families? How will they cope when the cash doled out to them for their land is splurged on drinking by the men and finished? Where will the women and children go?
What will be the impact on the loss of livelihood be on the villagers? How will they be employed? How will agriculture & food production be affected? It will only be logical to assume that in such a scenario, more and more people will turn away from agriculture – they will find alternate employment in the ‘new city’. How will that contribute to the food shortage and malnutrition plaguing the country?
By turning our villages into miniature cities, we would be encouraging the use of more automobiles, more pollution, more eating up of resources – opening the door to all the problems found in our cities today. And my dear Mr.Bhatia, who will pay for all this development? Who will bear the cost of this Utopian proposal?….the government? The government & our public administration is so ineffective that they are unable to properly implement the existing rural welfare, education, health & social welfare schemes, which if properly implemented would have made the village a much better place to live in….So then it would have to be the private sector? As we all know, the private sector is attracted only if there is a great return on investment, lured only by the smell of profits. This then would simply end up as creating cities based upon the same template which would have been used in our present cities to create this present mess. And we would end up destroying our villages and agriculture lands to create the same pattern of monstrous urbanism.
Mr.Bhatia, this hypothesis of yours is simply playing into the hands of developers and real estate players, who have currently almost exhausted the development potential in our present cities and are now turning their greedy eyes onto the villages, so that they can make quick profits in the guise of altruistic motives. It is just like a noble sounding excuse used to fool the common man, to appeal to the moral conscience of the middle class. This article is reflective of the propaganda machine that the corporate media in India is turning into. A lot more was expected from such a senior architect & writer. It would not be asking too much, from someone like you Mr.Bhatia, to properly analyse & think through your hypothesis dispassionately, to evaluate the impact of ideas before proposing them, that too in a national daily. Or it would seem that the propaganda machine has already spread its net far and wide.
The article ‘City is going to Village’ can be found at –

http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2011-10-02/special-report/30235475_1_slums-dwellers-migration 

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